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10.真の高値・安値幅の前日比は日計りに役立つか |
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真の高値とは、前日の終値と当日の高値を比べて高い方をいい、真の安値とは |
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前日の終値と当日の安値を比べて安い方をいう。 |
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真の高値・安値幅とは、真の高値から真の安値を引いたものである。 |
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【条件】 |
当日の真の高値・安値幅>前日の真の高値・安値幅 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
58 |
48 |
62 |
51 |
49 |
49 |
51 |
55 |
423 |
53 |
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DOWN |
61 |
63 |
64 |
66 |
65 |
65 |
75 |
61 |
520 |
65 |
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UP率 |
48.7% |
43.2% |
49.2% |
43.6% |
43.0% |
43.0% |
40.5% |
47.4% |
44.9% |
44.9% |
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【条件】 |
当日の真の高値・安値幅<前日の真の高値・安値幅 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
58 |
60 |
56 |
61 |
64 |
61 |
63 |
52 |
475 |
59 |
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DOWN |
61 |
68 |
59 |
61 |
65 |
65 |
55 |
67 |
501 |
63 |
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UP率 |
48.7% |
46.9% |
48.7% |
50.0% |
49.6% |
48.4% |
53.4% |
43.7% |
48.7% |
48.7% |
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【条件】 |
当日の真の高値・安値幅>前日の真の高値・安値幅 |
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当日終値>前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
20 |
20 |
22 |
14 |
20 |
28 |
23 |
23 |
170 |
21 |
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DOWN |
35 |
31 |
34 |
39 |
37 |
36 |
39 |
29 |
280 |
35 |
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UP率 |
36.4% |
39.2% |
39.3% |
26.4% |
35.1% |
43.8% |
37.1% |
44.2% |
37.8% |
37.8% |
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【条件】 |
当日の真の高値・安値幅<前日の真の高値・安値幅 |
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当日終値<=前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
38 |
28 |
40 |
37 |
29 |
21 |
28 |
32 |
253 |
32 |
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DOWN |
26 |
32 |
30 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
36 |
32 |
240 |
30 |
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UP率 |
59.4% |
46.7% |
57.1% |
57.8% |
50.9% |
42.0% |
43.8% |
50.0% |
51.3% |
51.3% |
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【条件】 |
当日の真の高値・安値幅>前日の真の高値・安値幅×101% |
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当日終値>前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
4 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
41 |
5 |
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DOWN |
7 |
16 |
6 |
11 |
14 |
10 |
12 |
13 |
89 |
11 |
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UP率 |
36.4% |
23.8% |
25.0% |
26.7% |
36.4% |
37.5% |
33.3% |
31.6% |
31.5% |
31.5% |
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【条件】 |
当日の真の高値・安値幅<前日の真の高値・安値幅×101% |
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当日終値<=前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
4 |
11 |
7 |
13 |
15 |
4 |
6 |
14 |
74 |
9 |
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DOWN |
4 |
10 |
4 |
13 |
7 |
7 |
16 |
6 |
67 |
8 |
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UP率 |
50.0% |
52.4% |
63.6% |
50.0% |
68.2% |
36.4% |
27.3% |
70.0% |
52.5% |
52.5% |
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真の高値・安値幅の前日比だけでは、翌日の日経225が上がるか下がるかを |
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はっきりとは教えてくれない。 |
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終値の増減を条件として追加すると若干の有効性が認められる。 |
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★当日の真の高値・安値幅が前日のそれより大きい場合、当日の終値が前日の |
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の終値よりも大きければ、翌日の日経225は下がる可能性が高い。 |
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逆に当日の終値が前日の終値よりも小さいときは、翌日の日経225が上がる |
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可能性が高いとはっきり言うことはできない。年度によってばらつきがある。 |
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