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13.日経225GAPは日計りに役立つか |
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日経225GAPとは、日経225先物の翌日始値と日経225先物の当日終値 |
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との差をいう。 |
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【条件】 |
日経225先物の翌日始値>日経225先物の当日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
52 |
53 |
65 |
64 |
54 |
65 |
51 |
47 |
451 |
56 |
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DOWN |
68 |
65 |
67 |
57 |
63 |
74 |
58 |
59 |
511 |
64 |
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UP率 |
43.3% |
44.9% |
49.2% |
52.9% |
46.2% |
46.8% |
46.8% |
44.3% |
46.9% |
46.9% |
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【条件】 |
日経225先物の翌日始値<=日経225先物の当日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
67 |
61 |
56 |
52 |
60 |
46 |
64 |
62 |
468 |
59 |
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DOWN |
57 |
70 |
59 |
72 |
70 |
60 |
75 |
77 |
540 |
68 |
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UP率 |
54.0% |
46.6% |
48.7% |
41.9% |
46.2% |
43.4% |
46.0% |
44.6% |
46.4% |
46.4% |
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【条件】 |
日経225先物の翌日始値>日経225先物の当日終値 |
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当日終値>前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
22 |
19 |
24 |
25 |
21 |
31 |
24 |
22 |
188 |
24 |
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DOWN |
31 |
35 |
38 |
26 |
32 |
43 |
22 |
22 |
249 |
31 |
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UP率 |
41.5% |
35.2% |
38.7% |
49.0% |
39.6% |
41.9% |
52.2% |
50.0% |
43.0% |
43.0% |
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【条件】 |
日経225先物の翌日始値>日経225先物の当日終値 |
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当日終値<=前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
30 |
34 |
41 |
39 |
33 |
34 |
27 |
25 |
263 |
33 |
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DOWN |
37 |
30 |
29 |
31 |
31 |
31 |
36 |
37 |
262 |
33 |
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UP率 |
44.8% |
53.1% |
58.6% |
55.7% |
51.6% |
52.3% |
42.9% |
40.3% |
50.1% |
50.1% |
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【条件】 |
日経225先物の翌日始値>日経225先物の当日終値×100.3% |
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当日終値>前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
12 |
13 |
11 |
19 |
18 |
24 |
21 |
20 |
138 |
17 |
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DOWN |
23 |
24 |
27 |
16 |
24 |
36 |
18 |
20 |
188 |
24 |
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UP率 |
34.3% |
35.1% |
28.9% |
54.3% |
42.9% |
40.0% |
53.8% |
50.0% |
42.3% |
42.3% |
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【条件】 |
日経225先物の翌日始値>日経225先物の当日終値×100.3% |
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当日終値<=前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
19 |
24 |
18 |
30 |
23 |
25 |
13 |
23 |
175 |
22 |
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DOWN |
21 |
24 |
21 |
19 |
23 |
26 |
28 |
30 |
192 |
24 |
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UP率 |
47.5% |
50.0% |
46.2% |
61.2% |
50.0% |
49.0% |
31.7% |
43.4% |
47.7% |
47.7% |
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【条件】 |
日経225先物の翌日始値<=日経225先物の当日終値×90.7% |
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当日終値>前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
18 |
15 |
14 |
14 |
21 |
18 |
19 |
17 |
136 |
17 |
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DOWN |
20 |
16 |
17 |
33 |
26 |
19 |
28 |
35 |
194 |
24 |
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UP率 |
47.4% |
48.4% |
45.2% |
29.8% |
44.7% |
48.6% |
40.4% |
32.7% |
41.2% |
41.2% |
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【条件】 |
日経225先物の翌日始値<=日経225先物の当日終値×90.7% |
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当日終値<=前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
17 |
20 |
19 |
25 |
21 |
6 |
23 |
33 |
164 |
21 |
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DOWN |
13 |
22 |
9 |
21 |
27 |
13 |
23 |
20 |
148 |
19 |
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UP率 |
56.7% |
47.6% |
67.9% |
54.3% |
43.8% |
31.6% |
50.0% |
62.3% |
52.6% |
52.6% |
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【条件】 |
日経225先物の翌日始値<日経225先物の当日終値 |
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日経225先物の翌日始値>日経225先物の当日終値×99% |
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当日終値<=前日終値 |
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YEAR |
1,994 |
1,995 |
1,996 |
1,997 |
1,998 |
1,999 |
2,000 |
2,001 |
TTL |
AVE |
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UP |
22 |
22 |
28 |
22 |
21 |
12 |
21 |
28 |
176 |
22 |
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DOWN |
17 |
26 |
16 |
21 |
27 |
13 |
14 |
11 |
145 |
18 |
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UP率 |
56.4% |
45.8% |
63.6% |
51.2% |
43.8% |
48.0% |
60.0% |
71.8% |
54.8% |
54.8% |
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日経225先物のGAPの大小だけでは、翌日の日経225先物の上がる可能性 |
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をはっきりとは教えてくれない。 |
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終値の増減を条件として追加すると若干の有効性が認められる。 |
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★日経225先物の翌日始値が日経225先物の当日終値より0.03%以上 |
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高い場合、例え当日の終値が前日の終値よりも低くても、翌日の日経 |
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225先物は下がる可能性が高い。 |
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★日経225先物の翌日始値が日経225先物の当日終値より低くて、しかも |
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日経225先物の当日終値の99%より大きい場合、翌日の日経225先物 |
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は上がる可能性が高い。 |
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